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Your Weekly Chartbook
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Updated Thursday, Feb 12
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Macro Regime Detector
Current economic regime analysis
📈
Current Regime
Expansion
Confidence
78%
Strong GDP growth (3.2%) with moderate inflation (2.8%). Expansion phase.
GDP Growth
3.20%
Unemployment
3.9%
Inflation
2.8%
5-Year Regime History
Regime Stability
Current regime has been stable for 45 days. Watch for changes in inflation trends.
Narrative Intelligence
AI-PoweredLLM-powered insights that tell you what the data means
US Real GDP Growth (QoQ SAAR)
Last updated: Jul 1, 2025
4.40%
+15.8%
Rate of Change (14-day)
MACD (12, 26, 9)MACDSignal
RSI (14)51.6
US Unemployment Rate
Last updated: Dec 1, 2025
4.40%
-2.2%
MA10: 4.29%
MA20: 4.19%
MA40: 3.91%
MA200: 5.89%
Rate of Change (14-day)
MACD (12, 26, 9)MACDSignal
RSI (14)58.2
US Nonfarm Payrolls (MoM Change, Thousands)
Last updated: Dec 1, 2025
K50.00
-10.7%
Rate of Change (14-day)
MACD (12, 26, 9)MACDSignal
RSI (14)48.4
Initial Jobless Claims
Last updated: Jan 31, 2026
K231.00K
+15.5%
MA10: K212.40K
MA20: K218.50K
MA40: K225.90K
MA200: K220.91K
Rate of Change (14-day)
MACD (12, 26, 9)MACDSignal
RSI (14)53.6
Continuing Jobless Claims
Last updated: Jan 24, 2026
K1.84M
-3.1%
MA10: K1.87M
MA20: K1.91M
MA40: K1.92M
MA200: K1.75M
Rate of Change (14-day)
MACD (12, 26, 9)MACDSignal
RSI (14)42.2
US Retail Sales (YoY %)
Last updated: Dec 1, 2025
2.43%
-24.3%
MA10: 4.00%
MA20: 3.60%
MA40: 3.74%
MA200: 4.72%
Rate of Change (14-day)
MACD (12, 26, 9)MACDSignal
RSI (14)44.0




